CONTRACT NOTICE – NATIONAL

1 Authority Details

1.1

Authority Name and Address

1.2

Address from which documentation may be obtained

1.3

Completed documents must be returned to:

2 Contract Details

2.1

Title

Population and Household projection modelling for the Replacement Eryri Local Development Plan

2.2

Description of the goods or services required

Eryri National Park Authority (ENPA) is preparing its replacement Local Development Plan 3 (LDP 3) covering the 15 year period 1 April 2026 to 31 March 2041. In line with the guidance in paragraph 4.2.7 of Planning Policy Wales the Authority wish to commission work to undertake modelling, based on robust evidence to identify alternative growth options to be considered within the emerging replacement Eryri Local Development Plan.

The Authority seeks to appoint a suitably qualified consultant to provide robust analysis of a range of growth scenarios, based on the awaited 2022 based Welsh Government Population and Household Projections for the National Park (due to be released early 2026).

The key objective is to produce a comprehensive analytical report that:

1. Interprets the 2022 based Welsh Government population and household projections for the Eryri National Park Authority area.

2. Identifies and assesses a range of growth scenarios over the LDP 3 period.

3. Analyses demographic change, including an ageing population and outmigration of younger people

4. Considers employment forecasts alongside household changes.

5. Produces projection variants to support LDP 3 strategy and policy decisions.

NOTE: To register your interest in this notice and obtain any additional information please visit the Sell2Wales Web Site at https://www.sell2wales.gov.wales/Search/Search_Switch.aspx?ID=164901.

The buyer has indicated that it will accept electronic responses to this notice via the Postbox facility. A user guide is available at https://www.sell2wales.gov.wales/sitehelp/help_guides.aspx.

Suppliers are advised to allow adequate time for uploading documents and to dispatch the electronic response well in advance of the closing time to avoid any last minute problems.

2.3

Notice Coding and Classification

2.4

Total quantity or scope of tender

Indicative budget for this work is £10k

3 Conditions for Participation

3.1

Minimum standards and qualification required

Interested consultants are required to submit the following:

• Proposed methodology including data sources, scenario modelling approach

and software tools to be used

• Proposed programme, key milestones, including timeline for completion

• Fixed fee proposal

• Experience of household projections, demographic modelling and economic / labour market analysis

4 Administrative Information

4.1

Type of Procedure

Single stage

4.2

Reference number attributed to the notice by the contracting authority

N/a

4.3

Time Limits

4.5

Language or languages in which tenders or requests to participate can be drawn up

4.6

Tender Submission Postbox

5 Other Information

5.1

Additional Information

(WA Ref:164901)

The buyer considers that this contract is suitable for consortia bidding.

5.2

Additional Documentation

5.3

Publication date of this notice